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Dane Ripper Stakes

1

WINTER BRIDE

[1.00/4.20]

[10-6-10-0-0]

2

IRITHEA

[1.00/3.29]

[14-4-10-2-0]

3

OUTBACK BARBIE

[1.46/13.00]

[17-8-2-1-0]

4

TELEPLAY

[0.85/3.53]

[10-10-13-1-0]

5

BACCARAT BABY

[0.96/8.33]

[5-17-6-0-0]

6

FIESTA

[1.35/15.00]

[23-19-6-0-0]

7

RIVER RACER

[0.53/2.17]

[8-10-16-2-2]

8

PAINT THE TOWN TWO

[0.20/1.50]

[2-8-16-2-2]

9

READY TO PROPHET

[0.94/4.54]

[11-13-11-1-0]

10

SHALWA

[0.85/3.00]

[16-10-17-3-0]

11

LOVE YOU LUCY

[0.69/3.73]

[3-12-11-0-0]

12

INTO THE ABYSS

[0.95/3.67]

[16-8-18-0-0]

13

SURE KNEE

[1.04/4.11]

[20-8-18-0-0]

14

ROMANI GIRL

[0.14/0.83]

[6-0-8-7-1]

15

KRONE

[1.17/8.00]

[14-14-8-0-0]

16

JEN RULES

[0.85/2.88]

[23-8-30-1-0]

Another winter carnival race that is something probably quite different to past years. We have seen it go from Doomben to Eagle Farm and change distance, so our level of confidence is not what it could be. Having said that, hopefully we are on a good price winner this week.

First off, past history for what it is worth, will tell us that there is a fairly wide range of past winners as we may expect given the above factors. The other thing is that it is a fillies and mares race so this can impact our reliability unless it is the tried and true races like the Oaks for example. Anyway, the very good Invincibella won the last two at both Doomben and Eagle Farm with a DI of 1.79. Clearly a very talented race horse and probably a class above the others. There are some decent runners this year, but probably nothing of her class, and nothing in the same dosage range. Next we had two winners at 2.20 and one at 2.67. The ones in this range River Racer and Jen Rules fit fairly closely. Neither really suits in my view, but River Racer could be worth putting in the multiples at big odds. Next we had three winners in the 3.5/3.7 range which brings in Teleplay, Love You Lucy and Into The Abyss. Irithea isn't that far away and I would expect her to run well. All are at good odds, but I think that Into The Abyss looks to match the dosage profiles of our past winners best and I think she is a great each way wager. Next we have a winner at 4.40 so Winter Bride again is not far away, as is Ready To Prophet at big odds. Again Winter Bride will run well, and Ready To Prophet could add some value to multiples. We also had one winner at 7.00 so I expect that Baccarat Babe isn't all that far away if you like her.

Overall, Into The Abyss looks well placed in terms of dosage, and at good odds I expect her to give us a sight. No surprises that Irithea, Winter Bride and Baccarat Babe are not far away from past winners and I think these four are likely to fill the trifecta.